Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001499 0.001556 0.001614 0.001679 0.001749 0.001822 0.001905
2025-07-27 0.001409 0.001491 0.001580 0.001681 0.001796 0.001922 0.002072
2025-08-03 0.001332 0.001430 0.001538 0.001667 0.001817 0.001989 0.002204
2025-08-10 0.001287 0.001399 0.001524 0.001678 0.001863 0.002083 0.002372
2025-08-17 0.001239 0.001359 0.001497 0.001669 0.001882 0.002144 0.002500
2025-08-24 0.001194 0.001320 0.001466 0.001652 0.001888 0.002186 0.002606
2025-08-31 0.001178 0.001314 0.001474 0.001681 0.001951 0.002303 0.002823
2025-09-07 0.001154 0.001295 0.001464 0.001687 0.001984 0.002382 0.002993
2025-09-14 0.001122 0.001265 0.001439 0.001671 0.001985 0.002416 0.003100
2025-09-21 0.001089 0.001233 0.001410 0.001648 0.001975 0.002432 0.003178
2025-09-28 0.001063 0.001209 0.001389 0.001635 0.001977 0.002465 0.003286
2025-10-05 0.001021 0.001164 0.001339 0.001580 0.001918 0.002403 0.003229
2025-10-12 0.001002 0.001146 0.001325 0.001574 0.001928 0.002447 0.003361
2025-10-19 0.000989 0.001136 0.001322 0.001582 0.001959 0.002527 0.003566
2025-10-26 0.000970 0.001118 0.001306 0.001572 0.001963 0.002562 0.003694
2025-11-02 0.000960 0.001111 0.001305 0.001583 0.001998 0.002650 0.003939
2025-11-09 0.000943 0.001096 0.001292 0.001575 0.002004 0.002691 0.004094
2025-11-16 0.000925 0.001077 0.001274 0.001561 0.001998 0.002711 0.004209
2025-11-23 0.000923 0.001080 0.001284 0.001587 0.002057 0.002849 0.004611
2025-11-30 0.000913 0.001072 0.001281 0.001592 0.002084 0.002931 0.004904
2025-12-07 0.000898 0.001056 0.001264 0.001578 0.002077 0.002949 0.005044
2025-12-14 0.000880 0.001037 0.001244 0.001557 0.002059 0.002945 0.005123
2025-12-21 0.000867 0.001023 0.001230 0.001545 0.002055 0.002968 0.005280